1. Market overview: China's personal care consumption continues to increase its global market share
Although the personal care industry has been affected to a certain extent during the epidemic, the market has high long-term development potential. According to the data of Insight Consulting, the scale of China's personal care market grew to 458.7 billion yuan in 2019, far exceeding the 305.8 billion yuan in 2015, with a compound annual growth rate of 10.7%, and is expected to grow to 701.4 billion yuan in 2024, with a compound annual growth rate of 8.9%. Under the severe impact of the new coronavirus epidemic, data from the National Bureau of Statistics show that the cosmetics category will still achieve 9.5% growth in 2020.
The proportion of China's personal care products consumption in the global market scale is on the rise. Since 2011, China's share in the global market has surpassed Japan to become the world's second largest cosmetics market. According to IIMedia Research, China's share of personal care consumption in the global market increased from 9% in 2013 to 11.8% in 2019, and is forecast to reach 12.9% in 2021. Domestic emerging brands, relying on highly digital, technology-driven omni-channel direct consumer (DTC) and other distribution models have risen rapidly, taking the lead in seizing the domestic sinking market.
2. Market segment status: "skin care" and "makeup" have broad prospects, and improving ingredients and experience is the king
Compared with developed countries, China's per capita personal care consumption has a large growth space, and makeup consumers are young and low-line. China's per capita consumption of makeup products in 2019 was about 39 yuan, while Japan, South Korea and the United States were 421 yuan, 321 yuan and 390 yuan, respectively. Chinese makeup consumers are young and low-line. Euromonitor data show that compared with European and American markets, the penetration rate of China's makeup market, especially in cities below the second and third tier, still has room for improvement.
Skin care products account for most of the consumption in the personal care market, and the makeup market has great potential. Driven by the epidemic, the rise of "mask makeup" has driven the sales of eye beauty products, and the problem of "mask face" has made anti-acne and anti-allergy skin repair facial essence popular. According to Euromonitor data, from 2016 to 2019, the proportion of skin care consumption in personal care consumption increased from 50.6% to 52.4%, the growth rate increased from 6.6% to 13.3% and is expected to reach 14.7% in 2023. The proportion of makeup consumption in personal care consumption increased from 8.3% in 2016 to 12% in 2019, the growth rate increased from 11.4% to 25.3% and is expected to achieve 27.4% in 2023.
2.1. Normal improvement of skin care functional needs such as repair and anti-sensitivity
In the post-mask era, repair and anti-sensitivity have become mainstream skin care trends. In the context of the new coronavirus epidemic, 50% of consumers pay more attention to skin care, and gradually establish a healthy skin care concept during the home, and more than 60% of consumers have skin allergies, breakouts, and enlarged pores in the post-mask era. According to CBNData, 57% of male consumers experience skin problems after wearing a mask, and the proportion of female consumers is as high as 69%. Different genders in choosing "mask face" skin care products, the most concerned factors include product safety, efficacy and product ingredients, and they have higher trust in professional dermatologists and expert opinions.
2.2. The concept of "ingredient Party" and "clean skin care" is the future development trend of domestic brands
The circle of "component party" continues to expand, and both component and functional skin care products are the future direction of domestic brands. The concept of "clean skin care" focuses on no added and natural organic products, rejecting harmful substances and supporting zero harm, which has gradually become a popular trend. China's "division party" emerged in 2014-2015, and brands began to use ingredients to define product efficacy. According to Euromonitor statistics, since 2012, the scale of dermatology grade products in China has been on the rise, and in 2019, the scale of dermatology grade products in China was 13.55 billion yuan, with a faster growth rate of 32.3%. From 2016 to 2019, China's dermatology grade skin care products grew at a CAGR of 25.7%, far exceeding the overall growth rate of skin care products of 12.9%. According to iResearch consulting data, ingredients and efficacy, cost performance and brand protection are the three most concerned factors of beauty and skin care consumers, especially sensitive muscle consumers, more than 60% of the requirements of natural ingredients. The domestic "raw material bucket" representative brand Home Facial Pro entered the top 10 beauty sales on Tmall in 2018, and the annual sales scale exceeded 1 billion. 诺斯贝, as a domestic Clean Beauty enterprise with relatively mature technology, has established relevant technology and processing very early, and has long-term development prospects.
2.3. Experience consumption has become a trend, and the middle and high-end market is the key power area of the future appearance level economy
The younger generation of consumers are more inclined to experience consumption, making the middle and high-end markets rise rapidly. Euromonitor data show that since 2016, the domestic high-end personal care market has witnessed explosive growth, and the popularity of consumption upgrading and appearance level economy has prompted consumers to pay a high premium for beauty. International brands are concentrated in the popular, high-end, high-end and luxury categories, classic and new domestic brands, the vast majority of distribution in the brand pyramid of the high-end, popular, extreme cost performance gradient. New sharp domestic brand performance is bright, some brands have begun to expand in the high-end market.
3. Market segment status: Hair and body care products are in high demand
Under the "appearance level economy", personal care consumers not only pursue exquisite makeup, but also chase delicate details from head to toe. With the increase of disposable income in China and the continuous upgrading of national consumption, the market education of social media and the input of Japanese and Korean pop culture, consumer demand for hair and body care products is also increasing. China's hair and body care market retail sales rose from 66.2 billion yuan to 77 billion yuan between 2015 and 2019, and will reach 82.2 billion yuan in 2021, according to the China Business Industry Research Institute.
High demand for mid - to high-end hair and body care products. The consumer demand for hair care products is mainly concentrated in the two directions of anti-hair hair growth and fragrance care, while body care consumers are more concerned about the efficacy of neck wrinkling and hand and foot moisturizing and exfoliating products. The popularity of e-commerce has spawned the "house economy" and led to the accelerated development of new consumption patterns. According to IMedia Consulting data, among the categories of goods online purchased by Chinese netizens, the purchase proportion of washing and care products has reached 40.8%.
The body care category is growing rapidly, with mid-priced domestic brands performing best. At present, among the online body care products, the sales of products originating in China account for more than 50%, of which the products of new sharp line and public line account for more than 60%. From the distribution of the price segment, the mass (below 20 yuan and 20-40 yuan) and the mid-range (40-60, 60-100 and 100-200 yuan) contributed about 90% of the sales, and the growth rate of the mid-range price segment was ahead of the high-end and mass price segment. At present, the consumers of body care products are more female than male, and the age is concentrated in the post-85, post-90 and post-95, second-tier and third-tier cities contribute to nearly 60% of the sales, and the sales growth rate of online cities (first-tier, second-tier and third-tier) is excellent.
4. The epidemic has driven the growth of disinfection and sterilization products, and there are still opportunities in the personal cleaning care market
The epidemic has cultivated consumers' awareness of self-cleaning, and there is still room for hand sanitizer market. The outbreak of the novel coronavirus has raised consumer awareness of hygiene and promoted the purchase of disinfection and cleaning products, especially hand sanitizer. According to Frost & Sullivan statistical research data, from 2015 to 2019, the total retail volume of China's hand sanitizer market continued to grow, increasing to 2.721 billion yuan, with an average annual compound growth rate of 11%, and is expected to reach 4.6 billion yuan in 2021.
From the perspective of product categories, hand sanitizer has better antibacterial effect than traditional hand sanitizer, and the market is expected to further expand in the future. From the perspective of sales channels, online channels are the main growth channels for hand sanitizer sales. Online sales channels accounted for 13.8% of the total retail sales of China's hand sanitizer industry in 2015, rising to 25.0% in 2019, with a compound annual growth rate of 29.7%; It is expected to reach 38.4% in 2024, with a compound annual growth rate of 35.8% in online retail sales. In the market distribution at all levels, the market growth of all tier cities is rapid, and the potential of low-tier cities is the greatest. Between 2015 and 2019, the retail sales of hand sanitizer products in Tier 1, Tier 2 and Tier 2 cities grew at a compound annual rate of 7.1%, 9.1% and 15.4%, respectively, and the trend is expected to continue to grow until 2024.
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