In the future, electrification will dominate. The utilization of biomass energy is mainly concentrated in areas that are difficult to be replaced by electricity, such as aviation and bio-based materials. Negative emission reduction technology BECCS will be vigorously developed. By 2060, more than 2 billion tons of carbon emissions will be reduced.
Carbon emission reduction under each carbon emission reduction path of biomass in 2030 (tons)
According to statistical analysis, it is predicted that by 2030, China's total installed capacity of biomass power generation will reach 52 million kilowatts, providing more than 330 billion kilowatt-hours of clean electricity, and reducing carbon emissions by more than 230 million tons. By 2060, China's total installed capacity of biomass power generation will reach 100 million kilowatts, providing more than 660 billion kilowatt-hours of clean electricity, and reducing carbon emissions by more than 460 million tons.
To meet the challenges of biomass energy, we must do a good job in three aspects
Although biomass energy is important for achieving carbon neutrality, the blue paper points out that China's biomass energy industry still faces the following challenges under the "two-carbon" goal:
The understanding of biomass energy needs to be improved. Affected by the "dirty and bad" of traditional biomass energy (burning fuel wood on earth stove), the whole society, especially governments at all levels, have insufficient understanding of the importance of developing biomass energy, and even some places regard biomass fuel as a highly polluting fuel second only to loose coal, and adopt restrictive development policies.
Sectoral coordination still needs to be strengthened. Compared with renewable energy such as wind power and photovoltaic, biomass energy management functions are more dispersed, development and reform, finance, energy, environment, agriculture, housing, forestry and grass have related functions, management functions are too dispersed, can not form an effective joint force, resulting in multiple policies, limited funds can not be used centrally, and even the phenomenon of inter-departmental policy constraints. To some extent, it has affected the development of the industry.
The main body of development responsibility needs to be further clarified. Because the biomass energy industry chain is relatively long compared with other renewable energy sources, the biggest problem encountered in industrial development is that the responsible body is not clear enough. In the industrial development, it is necessary to fully consider the environmental and people's livelihood benefits of biomass energy utilization, in accordance with the requirements of the Guiding Opinions on Building a Modern environmental governance System, it should be clear that the main responsibility for environmental governance expenditure is borne by local finance, and in accordance with the principle of matching financial resources with powers, further rationalize the division of central and local income. In the reform of the transfer payment system, the financial needs of local environmental governance can be taken into account in order to promote the high-quality development of the biomass energy industry.
Support policies need to be innovated. At present, the industrial development relies solely on the support of the renewable energy development fund, and with the increasing subsidy gap of the renewable energy development fund, the shortage of funds has seriously restricted the development of the organic waste energy utilization industry. According to statistics, by the end of 2020, the national renewable energy development fund subsidy gap is expected to exceed 300 billion yuan. Biomass power generation enterprises, especially private power generation enterprises will face more severe survival pressure. At the same time, because the waste treatment compensation mechanism of the GSP has not been fully established, the development scale of the field of non-electric use of biomass energy is limited by capital, high cost and low competitiveness restrict the large-scale and industrial development of biomass energy, resulting in the situation that the competitiveness of biomass power generation is not strong, the development scale is limited, and the non-electric use has not formed a scale.
The relevant standard system needs to be further improved. Such as the lack of biomass boiler proprietary emission standards, resulting in different management standards of relevant functional departments, there are a lot of difficult approval problems in the project, seriously restricting the development of the industry; The existing carbon emission reduction methodology failed to cover all the biomass energy industry, resulting in the carbon emission reduction of some projects could not be recognized after the launch of CCER market and could not participate in market trading.
The industry statistical monitoring system still needs to be improved. There are some problems in biomass energy statistics in China, such as incomplete survey, low data quality and perfect index system. At present, there are relatively detailed monitoring and statistics on power generation only in terms of power generation utilization, and there are no statistics on the situation of waste treatment. The statistical system for other uses, such as heat supply and biogas, has not yet been built. In addition, if the project lacks long-term effective emission detection and production data tracking, it will not be able to effectively support GHG emission reduction certification in the future.
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