The structure, problems and trends of China's electric power energy during energy transition

As can be seen from Figure 6, compared with the base scenario, the installed structure of the sustainable development scenario increases the share of photovoltaic power by 8%, wind power by 4% and nuclear power by 1%, while gas and coal power generation decrease by 1% and 12% respectively. In terms of power generation structure, in the sustainable development scenario, photovoltaic power generation increased by 8%, wind power increased by 6%, hydropower increased by 4%, nuclear power increased by 4%, gas-fired power generation remained unchanged, while coal-fired power generation decreased significantly by 24%.

Excessive attention to scenario analysis, easy to lead to a tendency: the power transition is simply understood as increasing the proportion of renewable energy in the power generation structure, which will tend to take the traditional "big dry fast" (such as the construction of wind power Three Gorges) way, significantly increase the proportion of renewable energy in the short term. When the proportion of renewable energy is relatively small, the contradiction between fossil energy and renewable energy is not large, but with the further increase of the proportion of renewable energy, the contradiction of interests between the two will inevitably lead to the development of renewable energy faces various obstacles. Just like the problem we face today, the grid assumes that it doesn't need to make big changes and blames the conflict on the renewable energy producers.