As the Chinese economy has entered a new normal, the growth rate has gradually slowed down, the development model has begun to shift to an intensive mode, the economic structure has been deeply adjusted, and the driving force of development has shifted to new growth points. The development of high-end manufacturing is an important measure for China's manufacturing industry to adapt to the new normal of the economy and reshape its competitive advantage. Shipbuilding industry, as the earliest industry in China to enter the international market and already have strong international competitiveness, has the basis and conditions for the first breakthrough in the process of building a world manufacturing power in China. The rapid development of high-end Marine engineering equipment and high-tech ships will inevitably become an important engine to drive the upgrading of the entire manufacturing industry.
Second, the situation facing the development of China's Marine engineering equipment and high-tech ships in the next ten years
(1) The international shipping market has entered a new round of adjustment cycle, and Marine engineering equipment and high-tech ships have become hot demand
The shipbuilding industry is a very cyclical industry. Throughout the development of the international shipping market, there is a large cyclical fluctuation at an interval of about 30 years, during which there will be short and medium term fluctuations every 3-5 years. Since the international shipping market entered a new round of adjustment in 2008, although there have been ups and downs during the period, it is still generally at the low level of the industrial adjustment cycle. At present, global shipping capacity is close to 1.7 billion DWT, and the contradiction between total shipping capacity and structural excess is serious, and it will take some time to digest excess shipping capacity. In terms of the future adjustment direction, the demand structure has changed significantly, the demand for conventional ship types such as bulk carriers is weak, and the demand for Marine engineering equipment and high-tech ships is relatively strong. At the same time, energy-saving and environmentally friendly new bulk carriers, container ships, oil tankers will be the main market demand, liquefied natural gas (LNG) vessels, liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) vessels demand will remain strong, car carriers, luxury cruise ships, ocean fishing vessels demand growth will be more obvious, more market growth will come from technologically complex ship types.
(2) The competitive pattern of the global shipbuilding industry has been deeply adjusted, and the competition between major shipbuilding countries in the field of Marine engineering equipment and high-tech ships will become increasingly fierce
In the future, the world shipbuilding industry will still maintain the competitive pattern between China, South Korea and Japan, and it will be more mainly reflected in the field of high-tech ships and offshore engineering equipment. Specifically, the European shipbuilding industry will further withdraw from the ship assembly and construction market, but it still has advantages in design, supporting, maritime rules and other aspects, especially Europe and the United States basically monopolized the core design and key supporting equipment in the field of Marine engineering equipment; India, Brazil, Vietnam and other emerging shipbuilding countries are affected by the financial crisis. Japan still has strong competitiveness in shipbuilding technology, production efficiency and product quality. South Korea's shipbuilding industry will maintain a comprehensive competitive advantage in a relatively long period of time, and South Korea proposes to build the Marine engineering equipment manufacturing industry as the second shipbuilding industry in the next 5-10 years; Singapore is committed to maintaining its competitive edge in offshore equipment. At present, China has accelerated to catch up with Singapore in the field of conventional offshore manufacturing products, and is transforming to high-end products, and the competition between China, South Korea and Singapore will be more intense in the future in the field of deep-water offshore tooling products.
(3) Major changes have taken place in the core competitive elements of the industry, and the key elements have shifted from hard power to soft power
In the new industrial competition environment, the key to determining the success or failure of the competition is no longer the scale of facilities, low labor costs and other factors, but technology, management and other soft power and shipbuilding, supporting the whole industry chain synergy, scientific and technological innovation ability to contribute more prominent competitiveness. Changes in competitive factors have directly led to the weakening of the original comparative advantages of China's shipbuilding industry, especially the increase in the cost of various factors such as labor and land, the long-term appreciation trend of the RMB exchange rate, the traditional advantages of low-cost manufacturing are disappearing, and the focus of industrial development has shifted from the pursuit of speed to the pursuit of quality and efficiency. High-tech ships and Marine engineering equipment are at the high end of the value chain of the shipbuilding industry, and are the focus of the future development of China's shipbuilding industry.
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