Data analysis of power generation structure transformation from "eleventh Five-Year Plan" to "Fourteenth Five-Year Plan"

3) Implementing measures for energy conservation and environmental protection. The power industry implemented the "big pressure on the small", the standard coal consumption per unit of thermal power supply decreased by 37 grams, and the proportion of desulfurization units continued to increase.

2. "Twelfth Five-Year Plan" analysis

China's energy development "Twelfth Five-Year Plan" clearly put forward the goal of "optimizing the energy structure" : the proportion of non-fossil energy consumption increased to 11.4%, the total installed power capacity reached 1.49 billion kw, of which the installed capacity of non-fossil energy reached 451 million kw (excluding biomass), accounting for 30% of the total installed capacity. The share of natural gas in primary energy consumption will be raised to 7.5%, and the share of coal consumption will be reduced to about 65%. In order to achieve the "12th Five-Year" goal, the power generation industry has accelerated the transformation of the energy structure.

Looking at the basic data of the power industry in the past 10 years, the first year of the "Twelfth Five-Year Plan" has ushered in an inflection point where the proportion of non-fossil energy power generation has climbed. In 2011, the total power generation reached 473 million kwh, of which thermal power generation reached 390 million kwh, accounting for 82.0% of the total power generation (excluding biomass), and non-fossil energy generation reached 85 million kwh, accounting for 18.0% of the total power generation (including biomass), taking this as a turning point. In the past 10 years, the proportion of non-fossil energy generation has increased year by year.

By the end of the "12th Five-Year Plan" in 2015, the total power generation of all caliber reached 574 million kwh, an average annual increase of 6.3% compared with the end of the "11th Five-Year Plan" in 2010. When the full-caliber non-fossil energy power generation reached 156 million kw, it nearly doubled compared with 2010, with an average annual growth of 13.6%, accounting for 27.2% of the total power generation, an increase of 7.7% over 2010, compared with the low point in 2011, the proportion of non-fossil energy power generation increased by 9.2% in the four years after the 12th Five-Year Plan.

By the end of the "12th Five-Year Plan" in 2015, the total installed capacity of full-caliber power was 1.53 billion kw, an annual increase of 9.6% compared with the end of the "11th Five-Year Plan" in 2010, and the increase was 3.7% lower than the "11th Five-Year Plan". Full-caliber non-fossil energy installed capacity completed 530 million kw (including 10.41 million kw biomass), an average annual growth of 15.2%, accounting for 34.8% of the total installed capacity, an increase of 7.8% compared with 2010. Both the total installed power capacity and the proportion of non-fossil energy installed capacity exceeded the targets set out in the 12th Five-Year Plan.

Note: The data in the figure comes from China Electric Union, and non-fossil energy mainly includes power generation types: hydropower, nuclear power, wind power, solar power and biomass power generation.

3. Analysis of the 13th Five-Year Plan

China's energy development "13th Five-Year Plan" put forward the basic principle of "clean and low-carbon, green development", requiring the development of clean and low-carbon energy as the main direction of adjusting the energy structure, adhere to the development of non-fossil energy and clean and efficient use of fossil energy simultaneously. We will gradually reduce the proportion of coal consumption, increase the proportion of natural gas and non-fossil energy consumption, significantly reduce the intensity of carbon dioxide emissions and the level of pollutant emissions, optimize the distribution and structure of energy production, and promote ecological progress.

The plan determines the main target indicators of the power generation industry: the total installed power capacity reaches 2 billion kw, an average annual growth of 5.5%, the installed power capacity of non-fossil energy reaches 39%, and the proportion of non-fossil energy generation reaches 31%.

By the end of the "13th Five-Year Plan" in 2020, the total power generation of all caliber will be 763 million kwh, with an average annual growth of 5.8%, of which, when the power generation of non-fossil energy completes 258 million kw, the average annual growth rate will be 10.6%, accounting for 33.9% of the total power generation, exceeding the "13th Five-Year Plan" target by 2.9 percentage points. Compared with the end of the "Twelfth Five-Year Plan" in 2010, an increase of 6.7 percentage points, an average annual increase of 1.3 percentage points.

By the end of the "13th Five-Year Plan", the total installed power capacity will be 2.20 billion kw, exceeding the target of the "13th Five-Year Plan" by 200 million kw, with an average annual growth of 7.6%; The installed capacity of non-fossil energy completed 986 million kw, with an average annual growth of 13.2%, accounting for 44.8% of the total installed capacity, exceeding the target of the 13th Five-Year Plan by 5.8 percentage points.