Current situation and prospect of photovoltaic power generation in China

Second, the development trend of photovoltaic industry:

(1) Centralized and distributed simultaneously promote the continuous and rapid growth of photovoltaic installed capacity.

1. Centralized photovoltaic power generation based on a large base becomes the ballast stone. 

2. Distributed photovoltaic power generation will become the growth pole in the central and eastern regions. In June 2021, the National Energy Administration issued the Notice on Submitting the Pilot Program for the development of rooftop distributed PV in the whole County, requiring the integration of resources and the realization of intensive development. From the perspective of the development situation in 2021, among the new installed capacity of photovoltaic power generation in the central and eastern regions, distributed power generation accounts for about 55%. With the new possible renewable energy continues to integrate into the total consumption control policy implementation, the central and eastern regions as a large energy consumption province, considering the land resources shortage and other objective reality, the increase in photovoltaic power generation will be expected to hit a new high.

(2) The development and utilization mode of photovoltaic power generation will continue to diversify.

1. Photovoltaic development will continue to maintain the characteristics of multi-variety collaborative development, and further achieve integrated development with other industries. In terms of the coordinated development of multiple varieties, in addition to photovoltaic plus energy storage, it will continue to increase the coordinated development of multiple varieties such as water landscape, landscape fire storage, and regional coupled heating.

2. In terms of integrated development, new energy such as photovoltaic power generation will continue to deepen the integration of agriculture, forestry, ecological environment, rural revitalization, etc., and continue to expand new fields and new scenarios for the development of new energy.

(3) Photovoltaic power generation technology will accelerate iteration.

1, large size photovoltaic cells will become the mainstream, due to the ability to obtain lower communication costs, in recent years, the single size of crystalline silicon cells continue to develop to large sizes.

In 2022, the market share of batteries with a size above 182 mm is expected to reach more than 70%.

(4) The green environmental value of photovoltaic power generation will be further highlighted.

1. Green certificate is the only proof of the environmental attributes of new energy generation and the consumption of green electricity.

2. Photovoltaic power generation enterprises can obtain environmental benefits by selling green certificates. By the end of 2021, according to our statistics, the cumulative number of green certificates in the country is about 620,000, corresponding to 620 million kilowatts of scenery green power generation. The enterprises participating in the green certificate subscription involved manufacturing, electrical appliances, chemical services and other industries, of which manufacturing accounted for more than 50%. With the in-depth promotion of China's carbon peak carbon neutral goal, the current social green convenience consumption demand gradually increased, will further stimulate the vitality of the green certificate market, the state is also studying the development of a new improve the green certificate system of important documents, with the introduction of a series of policies, photovoltaic new energy green environmental value will be further reflected.