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What are the trends of the chemical industry in the next 5 to 10 years?

来源: | 作者:佚名 | 发布时间 :2023-11-24 | 63 次浏览: | Share:

From the national layout of seven petrochemical industry bases, the introduction of foreign excellent chemical technology and investment will know how to go in the future chemical road. Chemical industry has a strong scale effect, the larger the scale, the lower the cost, the higher the output, the stronger the pricing power, the greater the profit, the more stable the production. In addition to our country's carbon neutrality, it is necessary to protect the environment and engage in green chemical industry, so some of the original polluting factories and backward technology factories will be eliminated, and qualified small factories may also be squeezed out by large factories because of pricing and cost problems. So you can see that in recent years are tens of millions of tons, the core is the chemical and petrochemical direction of large factories have been approved, built, started. China's refining capacity is very strong, but the profit of refining is not made of chemicals to high, and the demand for oil will soon reach saturation, new energy vehicles if listed will gradually eliminate a lot of oil-burning cars, on the one hand, oil will be overcapacity, on the other hand, chemicals will continue to be imported from abroad, pricing power is foreign chemical giants, how much money you also have to pinch your nose to buy, They then raise the price of the product and pass the extra money on to consumers. 

As a result, China's corporate profits did not increase, perhaps because prices affect sales, and consumers pay. In addition, carbon neutrality doesn't mean no more fossil fuels, no more carbon dioxide, which is unrealistic, even if you don't cook, at least you still have to breathe? Breathing also produces carbon dioxide. Can you stop breathing? So carbon neutrality is to make the carbon dioxide produced and the carbon dioxide consumed equal, offset each other, so as to achieve "zero emissions". So want to reach the peak of carbon in 2030, relying on afforestation to increase the consumption of carbon dioxide is not able to meet the target demand, so the main part is to save energy and reduce emissions, change the energy supply structure, reduce the use of thermal power generation and fossil fuels, and switch to the use of hydropower, wind power, photovoltaic power, nuclear power and other clean energy. Reducing the consumption of fossil fuels is also a very important part, so the demand for oil will be reduced in the future, the demand for oil will be reduced, and the development of the petrochemical industry will be accelerated, and oil reduction and increase will be the goal in the next 5-10 years. In the future, many new processes and large-capacity chemical plants will be added, and the combination of multiple devices will increase flexibility, reduce costs, effectively reduce risks, increase profits, and adjust the production structure according to market demand. It will also eliminate small refineries and eliminate backward production capacity, because their factories are small and the scale effect is not obvious, compared with large factories, their costs are high, and the products have no advantage for the market, and they will inevitably lose money and be eliminated. 

The backward production capacity is also the same, in the case of the same scale, the device process is backward, the energy consumption of the products produced is increased, the quality is decreased, and the cost and quality will also lag behind the new process large equipment, so it will also be eliminated. And once these small factories and backward production capacity are eliminated, many new plants will be concentrated in the coastal and some inland chemical industrial parks for centralized construction, especially in the coastal, there are port terminals can greatly save transportation costs and production costs. Don't ask me why it will save production costs, there is a very important industrial medium called cooling water, how important in the production, understand all understand, seawater desalination device on a set of not much money. In the future, chemical and petrochemical development will be better than refining and chemical, as far as possible to go to large factories, learn technology, learn new processes, can go to state-owned enterprises do not go to private enterprises, the future is the development period of high value-added chemical industry. But the treatment depends on the situation, the treatment of this line, less than the engineer, it is that, doing the most dangerous and tiring work, holding the starving salary, how to choose or see your own.

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